(The Southern African Times) – Shares fell Monday across most of Asia following a retreat on Wall Street, but benchmarks in Hong Kong and Shanghai rose after data showed the Chinese economy grew a solid 2.3% in 2020.
The stronger than expected performance for the world’s second-largest economy helped counter growing wariness among investors over deepening economic devastation from the pandemic.
Stocks seem to have run out of steam since the S&P 500 set a record high a week ago amid optimism that COVID-19 vaccines and more stimulus from Washington will bring an economic recovery.
China was the first country to suffer outbreaks of the new coronavirus and the first major economy to begin recovering as meanwhile the U.S., Europe and Japan are struggling with outbreaks.
The Hang Seng in Hong Kong gained 0.5% to 28,712.79 while the Shanghai Composite index climbed 0.7% to 3,591.33.
But gloom prevailed in other major regional markets. Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 dropped 1.1% to 28,211.78 and the Kospi in South Korea lost 0.7% to 3,034.13. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 declined 0.8% to 6,661.40. Shares also fell in Southeast Asia and Taiwan.
China’s National Statistical Bureau said growth in the three months ending in December rose to 6.5% over a year earlier, up from the previous quarter’s 4.9%, official data showed Monday. The economy contracted at a 6.8% pace in the first quarter of 2020 as the country fought the pandemic with shutdowns and other restrictions.
Some measures showed a slowing of activity in December, but “The big picture is still that activity remains strong, which is helping to support the labor market,” Stephen Innes of Axi said in a commentary.
On Friday, the S&P 500 fell 0.7% to 3,768.25, with stocks of companies that most need a healthier economy taking some of the sharpest losses. It lost 1.5% over the week.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.6% to 30,814.26, and the Nasdaq composite dropped 0.9% to 12,998.50. The Russell 2000 index of small-cap stocks lost 1.5% to 2,123.20.
Treasury yields also dipped as reports showed shoppers held back on spending during the holidays and are feeling less confident, the latest in a litany of discouraging data on the economy.
Friday was the first chance for traders to act after President-elect Joe Biden unveiled details of a $1.9 trillion plan to prop up the economy. He called for $1,400 cash payments for most Americans, the extension of temporary benefits for laid-off workers and a push to get COVID-19 vaccines to more Americans.
That fit investors’ expectations for a big and bold plan, but markets had already rallied powerfully in anticipation of it.
Biden’s Democratic allies will have control of the House and Senate, but only by the slimmest of margins in the Senate. That could hinder the chances of the plan’s passage.
The urgency for providing such aid is ramping by the day. One report on Friday showed that sales at retailers sank by 0.7% in December, a crucial month for the industry. The reading was much worse than the 0.1% growth that economists were expecting, and it was the third straight month of weakness.
For many investors the big question is what ramped up government spending may mean for interest rates and inflation.
Treasury yields have been climbing on expectations the government will borrow much more to pay for its stimulus, in addition to improved economic growth and higher inflation. The yield on the 10-year Treasury zoomed above 1% last week for the first time since last spring and briefly topped 1.18% this week.
Higher interest rates could divert some investments away from shares and into bonds. The yield on the 10-year Treasury was steady at 1.09%.
In other trading, benchmark U.S crude oil lost 43 cents to $51.93 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It gave up $1.21 on Friday to $52.36. Brent crude, the international standard, shed 53 cents to $54.57 per barrel.
The dollar was trading at 103.71 Japanese yen, down from 103.88 yen on Friday. The euro weakened to $1.2071 from $1.2078.